Saltzman Says...25 Man Roster (Dec 8 Edition)

Rotation:
1. #1 Starter:  Matt Cain
2013 Salary Situation: Under Contract
2013 Salary $20 million
2014 Salary $20 million

2015 Salary $20 million

2016 Salary $20 million

2017 Salary $20 million
2018 Salary $21 million (vesting option)
2. #2 Starter: Madison Bumgarner
2013 Salary Situation: Under Contract through 2017

2013 Salary $750K
2014 Salary $3.75 million
2015 Salary $6.75 million
2016 Salary $9.75 million
2017 Salary $11.5 million
2018 (club vesting option)
2019 (club option)

3. #3 Starter: Tim Lincecum
2013 Salary Situation: Under Contract
2013 Salary: $22.5 million


4. #4 Starter:  Barry Zito
2013 Salary Situation: Under Contract through 2014
2013 Salary: $21 million
2014 Salary: $18 million (club option) 

5. #5 Starter: Ryan Vogelsong
2013 Salary Situation: Under Contract
2013 Salary: $5 million
2014 Salary: $6.5 million (club option)


Bullpen:
6. Closer: Sergio Romo
2013 Salary Situation: Arbitration Eligible
2013 Salary: ??

7. Lefty Specialist Javier Lopez
2013 Salary Situation: Under Contract
2013 Salary: $4.25 million

8. Right Handed Reliever Santiago Casilla
2013 Salary Situation: Arbitration Eligible
2013 Salary: ??

9. Left Handed Reliever Jeremy Affeldt
2013 Salary Situation: Under Contract
2013 Projected Salary: $6 million
2014 Projected Salary: $6 million
2015 Projected Salary: $6 million

10. Right Handed Reliever George Kontos
2013 Salary Situation: Team Controlled Contract
2013 Salary: $480K

11. Left Handed Reliever: Jose Mijares
2013 Salary Situation: Arbitration Eligible
2013 Salary: ??

12. Long Man/Spot Starter: Guillermo Mota
2013 Salary Situation: Free Agent
2013 Salary:  ??

Starting Lineup: 
13. Center Field Angel Pagan
2013 Salary Situation: Under Contract through 2016
2013 Salary: $8.25 million
2014 Salary: $10.25 million
2015 Salary: $10.25 million
2016 Salary: $11.25 million

14. Second Base Marco Scutaro
2013 Salary Situation: Under Contract through 2015
2013 Projected Salary: $6.25 million
2014 Projected Salary: $6.75 million
2015 Projected Salary: $7 million

15. Third Base Pablo Sandoval
2013 Salary Situation: Under Contract through 2014
2013 Salary: $5.7 million
2014 Salary: $8.25 million

16. Catcher Buster Posey
2013 Salary Situation: Arbitration Eligible
2013 Salary: ??

17. Right Field: Hunter Pence
2013 Salary Situation: Arbitration Eligible
2013 Salary: ??

18. First Base Brandon Belt
2013 Salary Situation: Team Controlled Contract
2013 Salary: $480K

19. Left Field: Gregor Blanco
2013 Salary Situation: Arbitration Eligible
2013 Salary: ??

20. Shortstop Brandon Crawford
2013 Salary Situation: Team Controlled
2013 Salary: $480K

Bench:
21. Catcher Hector Sanchez
2013 Salary Situation: Team Controlled Contract
2013 Salary: $480K

22. Infielder Ryan Theriot
2013 Salary Situation: Free Agent
2013 Salary: ??

23. Infielder: Joaquin Arias
2013 Salary Situation: Arbitration Eligible
2013 Salary: ??

24. 4th Outfield: Xavier Nady
2013 Salary Situation: Free Agent
2013 Salary: ??

Cots Baseball Projections

Saltzman Says...Breaking down the Giants 25 Man Roster (January 12th Edition)

Rotation:
1. #1 Starter: Tim Lincecum
2012 Salary Situation: Arbitration Eligible (Year 3)
2012 Projected Salary: $19.2 million

2. #2 Starter: Matt Cain
2012 Salary Situation: Under Contract
2012 Salary: $15 million (with added extension??)

3. #3 Starter: Madison Bumgarner
2012 Salary Situation: Team Controlled Contract
2012 Projected Salary: $850K

4. #4 Starter: Ryan Vogelsong
2012 Salary Situation: Under Contract
2012 Salary: $3 million

Jon Heyman of CBSSports.com has the breakdown (on Twitter). Vogelsong will earn $3MM in 2012, $5MM in 2013, and then a $6.5MM club option with a $300K buyout for 2014 comes into play. The total guarantee is $8.3MM.

5. #5 Starter: Barry Zito
2012 Salary Situation: Under Contract
2012 Salary: $19 million ($46 million buyout unlikely)

Starters Estimated Payroll Impact: $56.5 million

Other candidates to start: Dan Runzler and Erik Surkamp, (eligible to pitch in the minors.) 

Possible Free Agent Starters include: Jon Garland, Hiroki Kuroda, Jason Marquis, Brad Penny, Javier Vasquez

Bullpen:
6. Closer Brian Wilson
2012 Salary Situation: Under Contract
2012 Salary: $8.5 million

7. Setup Man Sergio Romo
2012 Salary Situation: Arbitration Eligible (Year 1)
2012 Projected Salary: $1.3 million

8. Lefty Specialist Javier Lopez
2012 Salary Situation: Under Contract through 2013
2012 Salary: $4.25 million

SAN FRANCISCO -- Left-handed reliever Javier Lopez has agreed to an $8.5 million, two-year contract to stay with the San Francisco Giants, a person with knowledge of the negotiations told The Associated Press on Sunday.
Lopez -- one of baseball's most reliable lefties out of the bullpen -- had been set to become a free agent before receiving a new deal, confirmed under the condition of anonymity because the team had yet to make a formal announcement. Lopez will earn $4.25 million in 2012 and '13.

9. Right Handed Reliever Santiago Casilla
2012 Salary Situation: Arbitration Eligible (Year 2)
2012 Projected Salary: $1.9 million

10. Left Handed Reliever Jeremy Affeldt
2012 Salary Situation: Under Contract
2012 Salary: $5 million

11. Right Handed Reliever Guillermo Mota
2012 Salary Situation: Under Contract
2012 Salary: $1 million 

12. Long Man/Spot Starter Dan Runzler
2012 Salary Situation: Team Controlled
2012 Salary: $480K 

Bullpen Estimated Payroll Impact: $22 million ($78 Million Pitching Staff)

Other Candidates to Relieve: Steve Edlefson and Waldis Joaquin (eligible to pitch in the minors.)

Possible Free Agents:

Starting Lineup: 
13. Center Field Angel Pagan

2012 Salary Situation: Arbitration Eligible (Year 4)
2012 Projected Salary: $4.7 million

14. Second Base Freddy Sanchez

2012 Salary Situation: Under Contract
2012 Salary: $6 million

15. Third Base Pablo Sandoval

2012 Salary Situation: Arbitration Eligible (Year 1)
2012 Projected Salary: $3.2 million

16. Catcher Buster Posey

2012 Salary Situation: Team Controlled Contract
2012 Projected Salary: $1 million

17. Left Field Melky Cabrera
2012 Salary Situation: Free Agent
2012 Projected Salary: $4.5 million

18. First Base Aubrey Huff

2012 Salary Situation: Under Contract
2012 Salary: $11 million

19. Right Field Nate Schierholtz

2012 Salary Situation: Arbitration Eligible (Year 1)
2012 Projected Salary: $1.2 million

20. Shortstop Brandon Crawford
2012 Salary Situation: Team Controlled
2012 Projected Salary: $480K


Lineup Estimated Payroll Impact: $32 million (110 million total)

Other Candidates to Start: Brandon Belt at 1st/LF


Bench:
21. Catcher Eli Whiteside
2012 Salary Situation: Under Contract
2012 Projected Salary: $1 million

6. First Base Brett Pill
2012 Salary Situation: Team Controlled Contract
2012 Projected Salary: $480K

6. Infield Mike Fontenot
2012 Salary Situation: Arbitration Eligible (Year 3)
2012 Projected Salary: $1 million

6. Infield Emmanuel Burriss
2012 Salary Situation: Arbitration Eligible (Year 1)
2012 Projected Salary: $1 million

6. 4th Outfield Brandon Belt
2012 Salary Situation: Team Controlled Contract
2012 Projected Salary: $480K

Bench Estimated Payroll Impact: $4 million

Estimated Payroll: $114 million
Aaron Rowand ($12 million)

Total Payroll: $126 million

Saltzman Says...Answering Giants Questions

First and foremost
1. Matt Cain signed long term is priority #1 because he will be a free agent after this year.

Short term, Long term, The Freak is staying.
2. Tim Lincecum prefers short term deals, but the Giants would like to sign him long term if possible.

If we can only keep one lefty...
3. Jeremy Affeldt will be re-signed even if his option isn't picked up, in case Javier Lopez is too expensive to re-sign.

Too expensive to keep?:
4. Javier Lopez and Carlos Beltran will probably be offered more years/money than the Giants would like to spend.

Buster is still our catcher, but...
5. Buster Posey will be our starting catcher, but after him is another story.  Chris Stewart is the most likely to return with an outside chance Eli Whiteside could remain the backup.  Hector Sanchez should begin 2012 in the minors, so the question will be if the Giants go get a catcher in the open market to backup Posey.

Logjam at 2nd will get clearer.
6. Freddy Sanchez healthy is an oxymoron to Giants fans, but when he is, there is no issues at 2nd.  Will Jeff Keppinger be kept as insurance, or will he find an every day job somewhere else.  Manny Burriss has a better glove and Mike Fontenot's lefty bat are intriguing, but who stays is anyone's guess.  Even Conor Gillaspie will get a look next year.

Put down the cookies Panda! Put down the beer and cigarettes Huff Daddy!
7. Aubrey Huff and Pablo Sandoval's conditioning is the biggest offensive question marks of the players returning.

Brandons not Ready for Prime Time.
8. Both Brandon Belt and Brandon Crawford are having problems with their swing, and both could use some more minor league seasoning if possible.

Nate still Great, but the rest of the outfield...
9. Nate Schierholtz is the 2012 starting right fielder barring an upgrade or a fall off at the plate.  Neither Andres Torres, Justin Christian or Cody Ross seem like options to start 2012 in CF, so the question becomes who will.  Gary Brown is not ready and might not be until 2013.  Even if he is ready sooner, the team will not go into Spring Training with Torres and Ross only as options.  Torres and Ross might not even be brought back, but if they are, it will be to compete for the 4th or 5th outfield spot.  Pat Burrell has said he will only return to SF if he does come back in 2012, and Darren Ford doesn't have the bat to go with his legs.